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STEVE WATTS

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Lost in the Vines Prediction Contest Master List

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Follow along with the Lost in the Vines Prediction Contest!

We have a lot of new Lost in the Vines readers thanks to Newsvine's recent acquisition by MSNBC, so some readers may not be familiar with the Lost in the Vines Prediction Contest. I introduced it as a way of staving off the absence of Lost, presenting 10-12 new questions each month for contestants to give their predictions. Each question is worth a point, and all tallied there will be 108 questions in all. The winner will receive a Hurley figurine or an engraved plaque.

More details can be seen at the introduction article.

But now, the questions have been asked! More questions are coming each week to accompany each episode, and some contestants and contest-watchers have asked to see the Master List to track them as well. With nearly 100 questions already, I can't say I wouldn't welcome the help in tracking the responses. So below is the Master List of questions, with answers given in bold-green font. See if you caught any I didn't, and at the end of each week's episode feel free to hit this article and chime in. I'll be updating with answers as I find them as well as the new questions for each week's episode.

Remember, I may be wrong about some of these, and if you can point out a mistake I'll accept it. Also, some of these questions have more than one answer, so even if the question has been answered already there may be more information later this season that makes an additional valid answer.

UPDATE: Anyone wishing to contest an answer in this list must do so by midnight on Friday, June 6. After that, the answers are official and responses will be graded according to that list.

Have fun!

1. Will Jack die this season?

No

2. Will we see Penny Widmore on the island?

No

3. Which two characters will grow more romantically involved?

Jack and Juliet in "The Other Woman"

Jack and Kate in "Something Nice Back Home"

Daniel and Charlotte in "There's No Place Like Home (Pt2)"

Desmond and Penny in "There's No Place Like Home (Pt2)"

4. Will Richard Alpert have a flashback/forward?

No

5. Which character will utter the first line of the season?

Jack Shepard

6. Will Mikhail be dead at the start of the season?

Apparently

7. Will the Losties discover another hatch on the island?

Yes, the Tempest power station in "The Other Woman"

8. Who will be the first character to be kissed while on the island?

Rose / Bernard

9. Will we discover definitive truth - in whole or in part - about the Smoke Monster?

In part (so far) - Ben shows some control over Smokey in Episode 9

10. Who will Desmond's flashes focus on now?

No one / His own past

11. Will we see Cindy and the kidnapped children again?

No

12. Whose physical appearance will change in a significant way? (i.e. a new scar, beard, hair color, etc)

Walt

13. Will Desmond die this season?

No

14. Will we see Jacob's face clearly this season?

No

15. Will we find out the truth - in part or completely - about the Whispers?

No

16. Will Jacob be played by a current actor on the series?

N/A (Jacob is never seen)

17. What seemingly dead character will return?

Charlie, Christian Shepard, Libby, Mr. Eko

18. Will the Losties discover another orientation film?

Yes, in the Orchid

19. Will Sun die this season?

No

20. Which "group" will the first new character align themselves with?

Daniel / The Freighties

21. What character will be the first to kill someone on the island?

Keamy / The mercenaries / "New characters"

22. Will we find out who was in the coffin in the Season 3 finale?

Yes, John Locke

23. What other character will regret getting off the island?

Hurley

24. Which will we see more of: flashbacks or flash forwards?

Flash forwards

25. Will Hurley die this season?

No

26. Will we see "the Temple"?

No

27. Will we find out the truth - in part or completely - about the four-toed statue?

No

28. Who will be the first character to be kissed (in flashback / flash forward)?

Sayid

29. What is the first animal that we'll see?

Dog (Vincent)

30. Will both Michael and Walt return?

Mainly Michael

31. Will Michael's reappearance be on-island, off-island, or both?

Off-island, on the nearby Freighter - so far

32. Who will get the most flashback / flash forwards devoted to them?

Oceanic Six - Tie

33. Will Ben die this season?

No

34. What character will be the first to be hurt (on the island)?

Frank

35. Who will be the first character that we see eating food (on the island)?

Charlotte - Eating soup in "The Constant"

36. How many of the 16 episodes will include flashbacks?

Possibly Invalidated by Writer's Strike

37. Will Locke die this season?

Yes - he was the man in the coffin

38. Will the "Lost Experience" game be revived?

No

39. Will we find out the truth - in part or completely - about Christian Shepherd?

Partly; he's serving as Jacob's avatar.

40. What will be the first food we see eaten (on the Island)?

Soup - "The Constant"

41. Will a cast member be written off due to the actor's own choice (like Eko)?

Not as far as we know

42. Will we see Radzinsky?

No

43. Will we find out the truth about "Adam and Eve"?

No

44. Will the kidnapped children have powers?

No

45. Will Ben's friend Annie reappear as an adult?

No

46. Will Richard Alpert die?

No

47. Who will be the first character to dive into a body of water?

Hurley

48. Will the Others be revealed as good?

Comparative to Widmore's mercenary mission, yes.

49. Will Danielle die this season?

Yes, shot in "Meet Kevin Johnson"

50. Will Locke return as a "bad" or "villain" character?

No

51. Will we find out the truth - in part or completely - about the "lists"?

No

52. What will be the first food we see eaten (off the Island)?

Vodka (Jack, season premiere)

53. Will Sawyer die this season?

No

54. Will Richard Alpert have a flashback/forward?

No

55. Will we find out the truth about the Apollo candy bars?

No

56. Who will be the first character to be hurt (in flashback/forward)?

Sayid - shot in the shoulder

57. Will Michael or Walt die this season?

Yes - Michael died on the Freighter

58. Will Juliet die this season?

No

59. Who will be the first character to scream in fear?

Hurley (when seeing Charlie) - "The Beginning of the End"

60. Will Alvar Hanso show himself?

No

61. Will Claire die this season?

Arguably yes, but not definitively

62. Will Ben have another flashback/forward?

A flash-forward in Episode 9, "The Shape of Things to Come"

63. Will we find out the truth - in part or completely - about the Black Rock (ship) on the island?

Yes, we found more of its history in "The Constant"

64. Will creators Lindeloff or Cuse make cameo appearances or voices?

No

65. Will Sayid die this season?

No

66. Will Jacob have a flashback/forward?

No

67. Will we find out the truth about the "sickness"?

Partly; somewhat involved with coming into the island on the wrong heading

68. Who will be the first character laugh (on the island)?

Bernard

69. Will Penny Widmore die this season?

No

70. Who will be the first character to explain an abstract scientific concept?

Daniel Faraday explaining "constants" in "The Constant"

71. How many episodes will it be before Michael returns?

Seven - First sighted in "Ji Yeon"

72. Will the season premiere be a two-hour episode?

No

73. Will Kate die this season?

No

74. Who will be the first character to laugh in a flashback/flash forward?

Tom in "The Other Woman"

75. Will we find out the truth - in part or completely - about Desmond's visions?

In part - electromagnetism mixed with island magic

76. Will the season finale twists be leaked online before it airs?

Yes

77. Will we find out how Hanso and Widmore are linked?

No

78. Will the Lost webisodes become an important staple to the plot of the show proper?

Not particularly

79. Will an episode promo promise answers in an episode that doesn't deliver?

Not particularly

80. Will Daniel Dae Kim, after being arrested for DUI, exit the show as his other DUI brethren have? (Note, this is not the same as asking if his character will die.)

Unknown - character may have died

81. Will we see Dr. Artz again in any flashbacks?

No

82. Which episode number in this season will generate the most Votes on the Lost in the Vines follow-up article?

Episode #5: The Constant

83. Will Karl die this season?

Yes, shot in "Meet Kevin Johnson"

84. Who will go the entire season without a flashback/flash forward?

Every character besides: Hurley, Freighties, Sayid, Kate, Desmond, Juliet, Sun, Jin, Michael, Ben, Jack, Locke, Aaron

85. How many characters will leave the island?

9+: Jack, Hurley, Kate, Sun, Sayid, Aaron, Desmond, Frank, Daniel (and the Rafties)

86. Will we find out the truth behind Kate's horse?

No

87. Will Nikki or Paulo appear in a flashback?

No

88. What animal will we first see on the island - besides a dog?

A cow - "Confirmed Dead"

89. Will we find out the truth of the island's healing properties?

No

90. What group/organization will the new characters be associated with?

Charles Widmore

91. Which character will utter the last line of the season?

Benjamin Linus

92. Will the season finale be a two-hour episode?

Yes

93. What will be the next episode to see another appearance of Matthew Abaddon?

Episode 2, "Confirmed Dead"

94. Who are the other members of the Oceanic Six? (at least 2/3 correct to qualify)

Sayid, Aaron, Sun

95. Will any of the four new characters (Dan, Miles, Charlotte, Frank) get a flashback or flash-forward episode devoted completely to them?

No

96. Will we see this new mentioned character on the boat during this (possibly shortened) season?

Yes, Minkowski was seen in "The Constant"

97. Will we discover the identity of the Economist in this season?

No

98. Will we discover the truth (in whole or in part) of the time disparity in Daniel's experiment?

In part, so far

99. Will we discover the truth (in whole or in part) of the reason behind the card-quiz game?

No

100. Will any other characters suffer Desmond and George's "side-effects"?

No

101. Will Charles Widmore's motivations for the island become clear?

No

102. Will we discover how Jin "died" this season?

Yes - on the Freighter when it exploded, presumed dead.

103. Will Captain Gault die this season?

Yes, killed by Keamy in "Cabin Fever"

104. Will the next episode reveal who shot Karl and Danielle?

Yes. Mercenaries from the boat, including Keamy.

105. Will we find out the truth, in whole or in part, of the mystery "death" concerning Ray (the doctor)?

In part. His throat was slit in "Cabin Fever."

106. Will we find out what Kate promised Sawyer?

No

107. Will Locke, Ben and Hurley successfully and during this season move the Island?

Yes, in "There's No Place Like Home (Part 2)"

108. Will anyone besides the Oceanic Six (and Frank) get off the Island in the season finale?

Yes. Desmond, Frank, Ben, potentially Daniel.

  • 13 Votes
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This visualization below allows you to see the impact that each user has on the current conversation. The top row contains the group of users who have had the most impact, the 2nd row the group of users who have had the 2nd most impact (et cetera). Users with similar impact are grouped together, and the average score of the group is shown to the left of the group. The author of the article is also shown on the left, in their corresponding group. Each user's score is based on the number of comments the user has made plus the number of votes their comments have received. The scores are calculated relative one another, so while their absolute value is not particularly important, their relative difference does indicate a larger difference in impact on the conversation.
2.8
1.0
{"commentId":1463289,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

Obligatory tracking comment!

I don't really have a lot to add to what I said above. Just that it might be fun for the whole LitV community to keep an eye on this article and comment as you see new questions being answered. I think a lot of them, particularly the "will Character X die?" ones, won't be answered until the final credits of the last episode.

{"commentId":1463289,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
    Reply#1 - Tue Feb 12, 2008 5:07 PM EST
    {"commentId":1466187,"authorDomain":"greer"}

    Thanks Steve, it will be fun to play along. My answers and results so far:

    5. Jack - correct
    8. Kate - wrong
    17. Mikhail - wrong so far, but may turn out to be correct by the end of the season.
    23. Hurley - correct
    29. none, I missed Part 3 - wrong
    36. none, I missed Part 3 - wrong
    38. No - correct
    47. Locke - wrong
    50. none, I missed Part 5 - wrong
    68. Kate - wrong
    72. No - correct
    85. 6 - correct
    93. 4 - wrong

    So I've got 5 out of a possible 13. Well .385 is pretty good for a batting average, but probably not anything near a winning pace for this contest.

    {"commentId":1466187,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"greer"}
      Reply#2 - Wed Feb 13, 2008 12:22 PM EST
      {"commentId":1475864,"authorDomain":"deatienza"}

      Hm, I haven't been keeping track of my answers. This does not bode well for my score in the game...

      {"commentId":1475864,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"deatienza"}
        Reply#3 - Fri Feb 15, 2008 7:15 PM EST
        {"commentId":1476630,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

        Don't sweat it, Eric. I've been keeping track of everyone's answers. I can send you (or anyone) their sets in a text document if you need them.

        {"commentId":1476630,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
          #3.1 - Sat Feb 16, 2008 12:21 AM EST
          Reply
          {"commentId":1522374,"authorDomain":"greer"}

          63. Will we find out the truth - in part or completely - about the Black Rock (ship) on the island?

          We found out a little bit more about the Black Rock's history in "The Constant".

          {"commentId":1522374,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"greer"}
            Reply#4 - Fri Feb 29, 2008 10:13 AM EST
            {"commentId":1588662,"authorDomain":"VictoriaRose"}

            59. Who will be the first character to scream in fear?

            Wouldn't Miles count for this? Though his scream was muffled by the grenade currently in his mouth...

            {"commentId":1588662,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"VictoriaRose"}
            • 1 vote
            Reply#5 - Mon Mar 17, 2008 1:54 PM EDT
            {"commentId":1588892,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

            Good point, I never asked for a grenade-muffled provision.

            {"commentId":1588892,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
              #5.1 - Mon Mar 17, 2008 2:53 PM EDT
              Reply
              {"commentId":1613778,"authorDomain":"frostingagogo"}

              For #88- what about the cow that Frank the pilot sees when he first lands on the island?

              {"commentId":1613778,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"frostingagogo"}
                Reply#6 - Mon Mar 24, 2008 11:13 AM EDT
                {"commentId":1613786,"authorDomain":"frostingagogo"}

                And for #59, what about Hurley screaming when he saw Charlie?

                {"commentId":1613786,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"frostingagogo"}
                  Reply#7 - Mon Mar 24, 2008 11:14 AM EDT
                  {"commentId":1613801,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

                  Thanks for the responses, Erin, I'll check into them.

                  {"commentId":1613801,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
                    #7.1 - Mon Mar 24, 2008 11:19 AM EDT
                    Reply
                    {"commentId":1857070,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

                    Alright guys, here it is. The complete list. I filled in all the answers tonight to the best of my (exhausted) ability. So let this serve as the week marker. It's just after midnight right now on Friday, May 29. Any disagreements with answers must be registered by midnight on Friday, June 6. That's the hour that Thursday crosses into Friday, not Friday into Saturday, mind you.

                    I invite anyone who noticed answers I didn't, but I have to set a deadline for it. After that point, whatever answers are here on the big board stay and I start grading the responses according to that list.

                    {"commentId":1857070,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
                    • 1 vote
                    Reply#8 - Fri May 30, 2008 12:21 AM EDT
                    {"commentId":1857893,"authorDomain":"deatienza"}

                    Hate to mess up the numbering, but 4 and 54 are the same question.

                    {"commentId":1857893,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"deatienza"}
                    • 1 vote
                    Reply#9 - Fri May 30, 2008 7:38 AM EDT
                    {"commentId":1858567,"authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}

                    Yeah, I'll just call that a bonus point for anyone who got it right. :-P

                    {"commentId":1858567,"threadId":"218487","contentId":"1296810","authorDomain":"stevencwatts"}
                    • 1 vote
                    #9.1 - Fri May 30, 2008 9:53 AM EDT
                    Reply
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